Web Statistics The Sentiment Trader

Wednesday, 16 August 2017

Is there a lightning speed stock market sell-off in August - Is there a lightning speed stock market sell-off in August


Is there a lightning speed’ stock market sell-off in August

"Is there a lightning speed’ stock market sell-off in August

in the news - Is there a lightning speed’ stock market sell-off in August? What this all about..... See below. 

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Is there a lightning speed stock market sell-off in August
Is there a lightning speed stock market sell-off in August

With the recent bull market rally, market analysts are ademate that stock can continue to drive higher than we have ever seen in the history of the stock market. Is this true, have recent earnings been good enough to take us and soar past recent highs, or is this positively just a house of straw with nothing to show and ready to be blown over in a gust of wind?

The months of August and September are notorious for dramatic declines in the stock market, and there are a select few analysts who are sending out a dire warning investors to be mentally and financially ready when if it does eventuate!.


Stocks fell last week after a combination of weak retail earnings and bank stock performance spooked some investors.

"In the dog days of summer, we can get hit with lightning speed sell-offs, if we go back over 40 years, August and September have been notorious for seeing large and dramatic sell offs in the market. 

Rather than join the masses of scared investors in the next downturn, some analysts are seeing the other side of the coin. Meaning they are recommending clients to view it as a buying opportunity. That means having some cash available, and stock ideas on hand that could be put to work in a "cool and methodical" way.

Big wall st, guru type investors have not been spooked by the sell-off last week. There are charitable trust took action and purchased stocks like Nvidia and Activision Blizzard on weakness. These are just some ideas going forward while market constituents watch the ebbs and flow with the market. 

Despite the fact that everyone was freaking out, the positive backdrop for stocks didn't change. We have low inflation, low interest rates, good earnings and a weak dollar. So astute investors realize that sort of market environment can be very healthy in these dire times. Sometimes you have to look past the trees to see the forest!. 

Low inflation means that earnings for companies could be worth more in the future. often considered by some as to be a huge wrapped up Christmas gift, as high inflation could erode the long-term value case for equities.



Additionally, low interest rates can act as a positive catalyst to spur business in the U.S., and prompt investors to buy stocks with strong dividends. There are no guarantees but the role of this article is to try and help readers weigh up the positives and negatives and make informed decisions from that. 

Regardless of the positive implications of interest rates or inflation, some traders still have reservations.The first on the list would be that Congress is not in session currently. In this perspective, both sides of the aisle are at odds with President Trump. Thus, the market could move higher while Congress is not in session, and then be impacted negatively when it reconvenes in September. Hedge fund managers do watch the events in congress to make important decisions with their trades. So that might mean the stock market sits on shaky ground the next few months. 

Other worries on market analysts list were technology stocks, the recent bounce in transportation stocks and interest rates.


Ultimately, a good strategy going into the worst two months or the year, might be for investors to start selling the worst stocks in their portfolio that have managed to go up as a part of the broad rally and have some cash on hand for the next downturn.

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Monday, 14 August 2017

Buffett's Berkshire dumps GE but bets further on banking sector - Buffett's Berkshire dumps GE but bets further on banking sector



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Buffett's Berkshire dumps GE but bets further on banking sector?



Buffett's Berkshire dumps GE but bets further on banking sector
Buffett's Berkshire dumps GE but bets further on banking sector



Buffett's Berkshire dumps GE but bets further on banking sector

Sentiment Trader has seen today that, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway sold its stake in General Electric as of the end of June, according to a regulatory filing on Monday.

The conglomerate had previously held 10.6 million shares of GE, according to its regulatory disclosure in May. John Flannery became CEO of General Electric on Aug. 1 after Jeff Immelt stepped down after 16 years. Flannery was previously president and CEO of GE Healthcare.

Berkshire appears to be keeping its hand in a legacy part of GE. It reported a 17.5 million share stake in Synchrony Financial, the financing arm of GE that was spun out in a 2014 initial public offering. Shares of Synchrony are down more than 18 percent this year, but they bounced up over 4 percent in after-hours trading Monday.

Berkshire also increased its holdings of Bank of New York Mellon by 52.2 percent, to 50.2 million shares.

Buffett has embraced the financial sector, which many believe is poised for growth after years of historically low interest rates and extra regulation. In June, Berkshire announced it would convert warrants it has in Bank of America to 700 million common shares, which will make it the bank's biggest shareholder once that conversion is complete.

Here is a recent chart of the XLF or the financial sector. 

 When we take a look at the XLF daily chart you can see we have clearly fallen out of a channel and uptrend. Although there might be some risks as AUGUST usually being a weak month for the markets, you can see the XLF [financial sectors] is still holding up rather well. 



Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire also raised its stake in General Motors by 20 percent in the second quarter, to 60 million shares. The automaker's shares are up 1.8 percent this year after battling a proxy contest by activist hedge fund Greenlight Capital, run by David Einhorn. GM shareholders voted overwhelmingly in support of the company in June, a defeat for Einhorn. Greenlight reported it held 59.7 million shares of GM at the end of June

Berkshire's GE holdings were just 0.12 percent of the outstanding shares. GE shares are down nearly 20 percent this year.

Buffett struck a deal during the financial crisis to invest $3 billion in GE and later converted warrants to common shares in the blue chip company in a deal similar to those he reached with Goldman Sachs and Bank of America.

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Sunday, 13 August 2017

will bitcoin rise to $5000 - will bitcoin rise to $5000


will bitcoin rise to $5000

"will bitcoin rise to $5000" 

in the news - will bitcoin rise to $5000? What this all about..... See below. 

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There is much hype surrounding bitcoin right now, and many people who claim to by psychic think the price will soon reach $5000 per coin. But is this all crazy hype bubble-mania or is this coin the real deal and about to skyrocket into the atmosphere and create more millionaires along the way. 

IT is obvious that the genie is out of the bottle, and cryptocurrencies will continue to rise and take market share away from stocks, other precious metals, bonds and currencies  investors should take a shot on this If you lose a few bucks, at least you took a shot  In life, you miss every shot that you do not take. It will probably be more upsetting to watch it (from the sidelines) go up another  500%."



Another rival digital currency ethereum could double in value from just under $200 to reach $400 in the next year, and another digital currency, litecoin, to double from about $40 to $80.

stock analyst say  the top 20 digital currencies by market are creating huge buzz and it might be time to look at the crypto world if people have money to burn.
In 10-15 years from now, the charts on a few of the top 20 names could look like the Amazon, Apple, Tesla, Facebook, Netflix and Google charts look today.
Bitcoin has already as developers go ahead with a scheduled upgrade known as Bitcoin Cash. Direct owners of bitcoin will then hold two versions of the digital currency.

The market is telling you right now that there are many positives going forward and bitcoin due to limited supply in 2020 could make bitcoin even more rarer than gold. 

The digital currency hit a record $4,025 in this week with wall st analysts now circulated and wondering what all the hype is about. 
If major trends develop,  bitcoin could reach $5,000 "in a few years, we are not far away right now. 

Since march 2017, institutional attention on bitcoin has only increased.
Fundstrat co-founder Tom Lee became the first major Wall Street strategist to publish a report about bitcoin on July 7. Less than a week later, Switzerland's financial market regulator authorized the first Swiss bank to manage bitcoinfor clients, while the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission last Monday approved the first bitcoin options platform. This is big news, and caused some of the biggest names on wall st to look at this asset. 

Last Tuesday, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission also issued a report and investors bulletin on initial coin offerings, or sales of new digital coins.
There is now little doubt that 1% of the money in cash, bonds, stocks and gold will end up in cryptocurrencies, and that would only put the icing on the cake for bitcoin. 


Since the $80 billion cryptocurrency market right now is a 25th of 1 percent of the $200 trillion in gold, cash, stocks and bonds, we must  point out digital currencies will need to increase by 25 times in order to reach 1 percent of the overall capital market.

If cryptocurrencies become part of asset allocation models and take 2 to 4 percent of capital markets, then the digital currencies will likely increase 100 times in value. That is very possible in the coming years. 

Of course there are a host of risks for investing in digital currencies, including inherent high volatility, large-scale hacks on cryptocurrency firms and potential regulation, especially in China, that could cause prices to "collapse." That could be fast, but it’s a risk some market players are willing to take. 

In addition, there does seem to be a lack of customer support for online digital currency products.

"There is no telephone support," he said in the report. "You must go to the FAQs section and spend a long time looking for the answer to whatever question you may have — and then you may not be happy with the answer. Your only other option is to send an email to customer support which could take anywhere from one-to-seven days to get a reply."

All that said, it might be the right time to buy digital currencies is now. He described in his report how investors can buy bitcoin, and why financial institutions are interested in the blockchain technology behind bitcoin and other digital currencies. The potential of this might be even bigger than bitcoin itself. 
Some people keep watching from the sidelines for a few years and it felt recently as if the train is leaving the station, if we are talking NFL football,  we are still in the first quarter of a four quarter game and that even though I missed out on significant gains (2014 - 2016), it might not be too late to get in.

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